BETMGM GOLDEN GOALS MD12: SPOILS SHARED IN NORTH LONDON DERBY
Arsenal host Tottenham in the North London Derby on Sunday with the Gunners sitting top of the Premier League.
They would go 11 points clear of their fierce rivals with a win – but Thomas Frank’s Spurs are unbeaten away from home so far.
Manchester City head to Newcastle looking to close the gap at the top while stuttering champions Liverpool welcome Nottingham Forest to Anfield and Rob Edwards’ first game in charge of struggling Wolves is against Crystal Palace.
Elsewhere, Bournemouth take on West Ham and Leeds face Aston Villa in crucial clashes at both ends of the table.
Remember, successfully predicting the scorelines in these games could net you up to £250,000. The best part? Getting as few as two scores correct could mean one of several prizes heading your way, ranging from Free Bets to a share of £5,000 cash!
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Here’s how we see things playing out on Matchday 12…
Bournemouth 2-2 West Ham
A 3-1 loss to Manchester City, followed by the 4-0 squashing from Aston Villa, has brought Bournemouth’s early momentum to a screeching halt in recent weeks.
West Ham don’t know the feeling – back-to-back wins over Newcastle and Burnley have lit the fires of momentum in their favour, one more and they could very well escape the drop zone altogether this weekend.
When it comes to head-to-heads, the Irons have had the edge. They’re unbeaten in their last eight against Bournemouth – although five of those ended level, including the 2-2 draw last time out in the top flight.
Both sides need the points, but this fixture has a habit of sitting on the fence. And if history’s anything to go by, another high-scoring draw wouldn’t surprise.
Andoni Iraola’s men still looked lively in front of goal despite their most recent shortcomings, generating eight shots on target. The East Londoners, meanwhile, have bagged three goals in each of their last two outings, suggesting another game of goals galore.
As for a likely scorer? Jarrod Bowen stands out.
The England international has netted in three of the last four clashes with Bournemouth and remains central to Nuno Espirito Santo’s hopes.
He’s also a key piece in our 18/1 Bet Builder: draw, over 2.5 goals and Bowen to score anytime.
Liverpool 3-1 Nottingham Forest
It’s been a tough first quarter of the season for the defending champions.
They are struggling at both ends of the pitch. They have conceded three goals in three of their last five matches in all competitions, with defeats to Manchester City, Crystal Palace and Brentford in that run.
But a lot of the attention is on the performances of big-money players Alexander Isak and Florian Wirtz. They have managed just one goal and four assists between them in 24 combined appearances – not a pretty return on an investment that comes in over £220 million.
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And this isn’t an easy fixture to navigate, at least in recent history. Liverpool have won just one of their previous three meetings with Forest, scoring just twice in that run.
The Tricky Trees, meanwhile, are improving under the stolid stewardship of Sean Dyche. They have lost just one in five since he came to the helm – a 2-0 defeat on the road to Bournemouth proving too tricky a task to navigate.
While recent improvements to Forest should make this a more difficult task for Liverpool than two months ago, we still anticipate a simple win for the hosts. Can Isak and Wirtz get their respective Anfield careers up and running? You can get odds of 9/1 on both of them finding the net.
Wolves 1-3 Crystal Palace
The stage is set for Rob Edwards’ first game in the Wolves dugout and it couldn’t be more important.
The Old Gold are rock bottom of the Premier League with only two points; relegation form the former player-turned-manager will need to turn around if they have any hope of renewing their top-flight status for the eighth season running.
Crystal Palace will offer no such mercy, unbeaten in 10 of their last 12 league games and flying high despite the 0-0 draw against Brighton before the international break.
Jean-Philippe Mateta has been a revelation for the Eagles with six goals to his name already – three more than next best Ismaila Sarr.
The Frenchman’s form has already earned him a place in the star-studded national team as well as this 7/1 Golden Combo: Crystal Palace to win, both teams to score, Mateta over 1.5 shots on target and to score anytime.
Try as Wolves may to put on a show at Molineux, we just can’t see them getting the better of this Oliver Glasner side.
Their defensive frailties far outweigh any potential new manager bounce here, having conceded the most goals of any other team in the league currently.
They may well get a goal given the occasion, but it won’t be enough.
Newcastle 1-2 Manchester City
A resounding win over Liverpool before the international break moved Manchester City up to second in the table, just four points behind leaders Arsenal.
Newcastle slipped to another defeat on the road, this time at Brentford, leaving the Magpies with just three league wins all season.
They are yet to win away from home and, while they have wins at St James’ Park over Wolves, Fulham and Nottingham Forest, they have lost to Arsenal and Liverpool on their own turf.
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City will undoubtedly be eyeing up a win here – as tough a venue as it can be for some, they have lost just one Premier League game against Newcastle since 2005.
The Citizens have also won five of their last six and can put more pressure on leaders Arsenal here.
Talisman Erling Haaland has scored just once in five Premier League games against Newcastle but looks unstoppable this term. He’s got 19 goals in all competitions and scored twice as Norway beat Italy on Sunday to qualify for the 2026 World Cup.
It’s 23/4 for Haaland to score two or more goals and City to win the game. Their reliance on him is a question for another day, but his 14 league goals make this a selection worth looking at.
Leeds 0-1 Aston Villa
Leeds made a solid enough start to life back in the Premier League but have won just once now since mid-September.
Aston Villa visit Elland Road on Sunday and, after a torrid start, have only one league defeat to their name since August.
Five wins out of the last six games, including over City, Bournemouth and away at Spurs, have lifted the Villans to sixth place, just a point off the top four.
The pressure is on Daniel Farke to pick up results as Leeds slip dangerously close to the drop zone and, despite poor recent form, they have lost just once at home so far.
Villa, though not free scoring, are distinctly hard to break down.
Only Crystal Palace, Arsenal and Manchester City have conceded fewer than Villa’s 10 league goals and they haven’t conceded on this ground on their last three visits.
We’re backing them to make that four. Four of Villa’s five away games have had under 2.5 goals and, while that doesn’t make for a classic, it could be a likely outcome once again.
Leeds have averaged less than a goal a game and the fact central defender Joe Rodon is their joint top scorer says it all.
A price of 16/5 for Villa to win and under 2.5 goals in the game makes sense given the recent record of both.
Arsenal 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur
Arsenal’s Emirates form is formidable with seven wins, a draw and seven clean sheets in eight competitive home games this term ahead of the latest instalment of the North London Derby.
However, with the likes of Gabriel Martinelli and Viktor Gyokeres already out, the potential absence of defensive linchpin Gabriel could be significant: the Gunners won just five of the 12 games he missed near the end of last season.
This will be music to the ears of a Tottenham side whose league form is a strange paradox.
While their home record is the second-worst in the division they remain unbeaten on the road – four wins and a draw gives them an away points total matched only by their great rivals.
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We cannot forget, though, that Spurs haven’t won a league game at the Emirates since 2010. Yet with both teams scoring in the last six competitive meetings here, this is a fixture which generally serves up goals regardless of outcome.
Bukayo Saka, with six goal contributions in his last seven derbies, is central to that reality.
He spearheads an attack averaging over 14 shots per game, spelling a busy afternoon for Guglielmo Vicario, who already makes over three saves per 90.
With that in mind, combining both teams to score and a Saka goal or assist with Vicario to make over 3.5 saves looks a solid proposition at 5/1.
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