BETMGM GOLDEN GOALS PREMIER LEAGUE STAT PACK: LEEDS TO PILE PRESSURE ON CARRICK
Last week’s Premier League action produced 36 goals with not a single 0-0 in sight.
And while that’s a hard act for Matchday 7 to follow, there’s still up to £100,000 up for grabs with our free-to-play Golden Goals.
To be in with a shout, simply predict the scores of six Premier League games, with everything from Free Bets to a share of £5,000 cash going to two correct results or more.
Click here for full Golden Goals information, including prize breakdown and terms.
Every week, we bring you the form, key stats and more for each of our six games to help you make your predictions.
Here’s where our heads are at going into the weekend…
BRENTFORD 2-1 LIVERPOOL
- Kick-off: Sat 17th Oct, 15:00
- Match odds: Brentford 13/10; Draw 13/5; Liverpool 13/8
- Brentford PL form: DWDDD
- Liverpool PL form: LWDWD
- Player to watch: Vitaly Janelt (Brentford)
- Key stat: Brentford haven’t conceded a first-half goal in 12 straight games
Our first Golden Goals game of the weekend sees the rough-and-always-ready Brentford welcome a battered Liverpool side with more than their fair share of injuries and suspensions.
The Bees are one of three sides still unbeaten in the league, alongside Everton and Manchester City, and sit fourth in the table behind another side enjoying a fantastic start to the season in Brighton.
Keith Andrews’ side have earned that position on merit, going 10 league games unbeaten and haven’t trailed at half-time in any of their last 12 games across all competitions dating back to the end of last season.
Set pieces were the Reds’ undoing in the 3-2 thriller on their last visit and, with Brentford winning more aerial duels per game than Andoni Iraola’s side, they’ll fancy their chances from dead balls again.
Vitaly Janelt has been the surprise source of goals from deep.
He’s scored twice this season, second only to Kevin Schade at the Bees, and has created five chances from midfield. With Schade sidelined, the German now becomes Brentford’s leading available scorer.
BetMGM’s Bet Builder: Brentford to win, BTTS, Brentford or draw at HT double chance & Janelt 1+ shot @ 4/1
FULHAM 0-1 HULL
- Kick-off: Sat 17th Oct, 15:00
- Match odds: Fulham 7/10; Draw 11/4; Hull 10/3
- Fulham PL form: LDDLL
- Hull PL form: DLDDW
- Player to watch: Mohamed Belloumi (Hull)
- Key stat: Only one team has scored in six of the last 10 meetings between these two
Three months after replacing Marco Silva at Fulham, Alvaro Arbeloa is still waiting for his first league win. Last weekend’s 2-1 defeat to Ipswich sent the Cottagers to the bottom of the table.
Only one team has scored in six of the last 10 meetings between these sides and, with Fulham conceding in all but one game and Hull keeping the joint-second most clean sheets in the league, we’re leaning towards the Tigers to keep the momentum going.
Every one of their league defeats has come by a single goal and they’ve conceded in the final 15 minutes in four of their six matches, so expect fine margins to play a part in the result.
Mohamed Belloumi is the man to watch here with three goals and two assists in just 424 minutes this season, including the equaliser against Everton last time out.
We’re also expecting Oli McBurnie and Timothy Castagne to be in the thick of it.
The Hull frontman has committed 10 fouls in six games as he battles for every ball up top while Castagne has been one of the league’s most frequent foulers, averaging almost two per 90 minutes.
BetMGM’s Bet Builder: Under 1.5 goals, Belloumi to score or assist and McBurnie & Castagne 1+ fouls each @ 45/1
MANCHESTER CITY 4-0 IPSWICH
- Kick-off: Sat 17th Oct, 15:00
- Match odds: Man City 1/5; Draw 11/2; Ipswich 9/1
- Man City PL form: WWWWW
- Ipswich PL form: WLWLL
- Player to watch: Erling Haaland (Man City)
- Key stat: Man City beat Ipswich home and away 10-1 on aggregate in the 2024/25 season
Ipswich’s last visit to the Etihad ended in a 4-1 defeat and an Erling Haaland hat-trick – the Norwegian then added another in a 6-0 rout at Portman Road later that season.
The Tractor Boys arrive in better spirits after last weekend but this is a different level entirely.
City have won all six league games and look as ruthless as ever after their 3-0 statement win at Anfield.
Gary O’Neil’s men will also have their hands full with Elliot Anderson. Few midfielders drive forward with the ball like him, which certainly explains why he’s the most fouled player in the league with 20 won so far.
City have been booked less often than almost any side in the division, averaging just 1.2 yellow cards a game. Ipswich, on the other hand, have averaged nearly three a game on the road and chasing City’s midfield for 90 minutes won’t help.
Multiple goals, a few more Haaland strikes and some more bruises for Anderson sound about right in City’s first home game in the league since the verdict dropped.
BetMGM’s Bet Builder: Man City to win, over 3.5 goals, Haaland 2+ goals & Ipswich most cards @ 17/4
NEWCASTLE 2-2 ASTON VILLA
- Kick-off: Sat 17th Oct, 17:30
- Match odds: Newcastle 23/20; Draw 13/5; Aston Villa 15/8
- Newcastle PL form: LWLDW
- Aston Villa PL form: DWLDL
- Player to watch: Yoanne Wissa (Newcastle)
- Key stat: BTTS has landed in all three of Newcastle’s home games this term
St James’ Park has been a bit of an open house in the Premier League to date.
All three visitors have scored and Newcastle have shipped 11 in their last four – yet the Magpies have netted in every league game themselves.
Aston Villa needed three matches to find a league goal before plundering six in three, making both teams to score extremely hard to ignore.
A note of caution though: the Villans might’ve won 2-0 on their last trip to Tyneside in January but Fenerbahce’s midweek Champions League visit to the West Midlands could see Unai Emery shuffle his XI somewhat.
The cards market could offer potentially firmer betting ground than the match winner one given over 2.5 match cards has landed in five of six Premier League games for both sides.
Perhaps counterintuitively, only two players – both defensive midfielders – have accumulated more fouls than Newcastle forward Yoanne Wissa’s 12 so far this term.
Villa, meanwhile, have barely troubled the corner flag on their travels having yet to win more than four.
BetMGM’s Bet Builder: BTTS, over 3.5 total cards, Villa under 4.5 corners & Wissa 2+ fouls @ 9/2
LEEDS 1-1 MANCHESTER UNITED
- Kick-off: Sun 18th Oct, 14:00
- Match odds: Leeds 7/5; Draw 5/2; Man Utd 13/8
- Leeds PL form: LDWDD
- Man Utd PL form: DDLDW
- Player to watch: Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)
- Key stat: 3+ cards has landed in all six of both teams’ league matches
Sharing has been the order of the day for these teams this term: both have drawn half their six Premier League games while their last Elland Road meeting also finished 1-1.
Where Leeds are often stubborn defensively, United tend to struggle to hold on to what they have and once again coughed up a late leveller to 10-man Tottenham on Golden Goals Matchday 6.
It’s fair to expect the referee’s notebook to be put through its paces – every league match involving either side has produced three or more cards so far.
Leeds striker Dominic Calvert-Lewin has committed at least one foul in all six of his games but is far from an enforcer; nobody in the division’s top 10 for shots on target has been more accurate than his 64% clip and he has tested the keeper in every home game to date.
United also lead Leeds 125-72 for shots taken, so backing the Red Devils to take 14 or more here should hold strong pull for your Bet Builders.
Just don’t mention that United’s worst start to a league season in 40 years may extend by another week in the end up.
BetMGM’s Bet Builder: Draw, Calvert-Lewin 1+ SoT & 1+ fouls, over 4.5 total cards, & Man Utd 14+ shots @ 11/1
NOTT’M FOREST 0-2 ARSENAL
- Kick-off: Sun 18th Oct, 16:30
- Match odds: Nott’m Forest 17/4; Draw 11/4; Arsenal 8/15
- Forest PL form: LLWDD
- Arsenal PL form: WLWWW
- Player to watch: Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott’m Forest)
- Key stat: Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in all of their last four meetings with Forest
Four home games into the Oliver Glasner era, Nottingham Forest still haven't scored at the City Ground.
The reigning champions hardly look the side to end it again. Arsenal have shut Forest out in four straight meetings and won four of their last five on the road, three without reply.
With Forest’s last seven home games all staying under 2.5 goals – and the Gunners scoring twice or more in four of six Premier League outings – another Arsenal win to nil seems plausible.
The City Ground has still proved a stubborn nut to crack though. Forest may not have won there yet this season but they’ve only tasted defeat at their home ground once in the last five against the Gunners. The last two both finished 0-0 into the bargain.
Across the entirety of their eight meetings since Forest’s Premier League return in 2022 the corner average sits at 11.5 – making 17/20 for 10 or more to be surpassed hard to ignore for Bet Builders.
Morgan Gibbs-White averaged almost three shots per league home game last term so backing the Forest talisman to fire in at least two attempts on Matchday 7 warrants serious consideration too.
BetMGM’s Bet Builder: Arsenal to win to-nil, Forest most cards & Gibbs-White 2+ shots @ 5/1
Odds correct at time of publication but subject to change. Please note: This week's Golden Goals deadline is Saturday 17th October 15:00. Opt-in is required and you can find out more here.
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