AC Milan vs Inter Tips: Tense Derby Della Madonnina on Cards
The Derby della Madonnina takes centre stage in Italy this weekend as league leaders Inter Milan visit fierce rivals and second-placed Serie A side AC Milan, who are aiming to narrow the gap between them both to seven points.
Last time out, Milan snuck a 1-0 win thanks to a goal from Christian Pulisic. Inter midfielder Hakan Calhanoglu missed a penalty in the second half thanks to a fine save from goalkeeper Mike Maignan; a save that, incidentally, prevented us getting a clean sweep of tips and a 10/1 Bet Builder into the bargain.
At that point in the season Inter were in fourth, one point behind Milan and two behind Roma.
Now they find themselves leading the pack as we enter the home straight.
Below, we’ve picked out three of our best bets ahead of the clash…
AC Milan vs Inter: All You Need to Know
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Kick-off time: 19:45 GMT
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Match date: Sun 8th March
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Venue: San Siro, Milan
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Competition: Serie A
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How to watch: TNT Sports 1; DAZN; Discovery+
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Form (last all comps): MIL WLDWW / INT DWLWL
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Match market: Click here
Tip 1 – Under 1.5 goals @ 5/2
If we were to judge this on the tight affair from earlier in the season, we’d be recommending a 0-0 correct score (that’s 17/2, as it happens).
The last clash was hardly a blockbuster affair and, given both teams’ respective positions, we can see it being another close one.
Inter are trying to close out the title to mask what has otherwise been a disappointing campaign. Exiting the Champions League across two legs to Norway’s Bodo/Glimt will leave an indelible scar on the psyche of the supporters.
But a league title will help memories fade quicker.
Milan are aiming to return to Europe once more, while a win would maintain any slim hopes of a Serie A title for the first time since the 2021-22 campaign.
And then there is the importance of the result of this match itself for the fans. Bragging rights is more important in this game than almost any other.
All to say is this could be a fraught and scrappy affair; under 1.5 goals looks the play at very attractive odds.
Tip 2 – Under 3.5 cards @ 5/6
The famous blood and thunder of this game has dampened down over recent times.
In the last four meetings between these two, there have only been 11 cards distributed.
With Inter’s composure, Milan’s focus on possession phases and derbies often decided by fine margins, the officials may not need to reach for their pocket often.
That makes under 3.5 cards a surprisingly appealing angle in this classic clash.
Tip 3 – Inter to win 1-0 @ 13/2
We think it will be low-scoring despite the historic nature of this magnificent football derby.
That’s why backing Inter to just about edge it with a 1-0 correct score bet looks to be the odds-boosting play.
Both teams concede fewer than one goal per game and, in a tense derby where chances may be limited, one moment of quality from the likes of Lautaro Martinez, or a set-piece, could be enough.
Inter to get the win and all but seal their 21st Serie A title at 13/2 carries considerable weight as a result.
Odds correct at time of publication but subject to fluctuation
