BETMGM GOLDEN GOALS MD15: MORE MISERY IN STORE FOR LIVERPOOL
After some barnstorming midweek fixtures, the Premier League returns for Matchday 15 – and with it some key fixtures at both ends of the table.
Chelsea were impressive against Arsenal but a midweek loss at Leeds has left them with ground to make up all over again. They are away to Bournemouth, with the Cherries currently five games without a win.
Newcastle look to be hitting more of a stride of late and they face lowly Burnley at St James’ Park. The visitors have slipped to 19th in the table, having lost five on the bounce.
Spurs, struggling for consistency, are at home to Brentford, in one of two London Derbies – the other being Crystal Palace’s visit to Fulham.
Liverpool were held by Sunderland on Wednesday and they head to Elland Road to take on a Leeds side surely full of confidence, while struggling West Ham face Brighton at the Amex.
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Here’s how we see things playing out on Matchday 15…
Bournemouth 1-2 Chelsea
A pulsating London Derby with Arsenal last Sunday saw 10-man Chelsea come away with a credible draw, before a defeat to Leeds brought them firmly back down to earth.
Saturday sees them travel to the south coast to take on Bournemouth, who managed to come away from Sunderland last week with no points despite being two goals to the good inside half an hour, before losing at home to Everton to make it four defeats in five.
Chelsea are unbeaten in their last seven games against the Cherries and, after the midweek defeat, will feel this is a must-win to make up ground on the Gunners.
The loss to Everton on Tuesday was their first at home this season, while the midweek reverse for the Blues was their first loss in five.
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We’re backing the visitors to bounce back and continue Bournemouth’s miserable run.
The home side have shipped at least two goals in four of their last five, with Chelsea not failing to score in the Premier League since the opening day.
With that in mind, the 9/4 for Chelsea to win and over 2.5 goals in the game seems well priced given their strong overall away record and four of their six away games having at least three goals.
Newcastle 3-1 Burnley
For all the composure Burnley showed in the Championship – conceding a record-low 16 goals all season – life back in the Premier League has hit them like a sledgehammer.
The Clarets have already shipped 21 goals on the road, five more than they allowed all last season both home and away.
What’s more, they head to the North East having lost 3-2 at West Ham and 3-1 at Brentford in their last two away outings.
They’re leaking goals for fun at the moment and show no signs of tightening up; a dangerous game to play against a Newcastle side that thumped them 4-1 the last time these two met in the top flight.
Newcastle may be mid-table but now is not the time to be playing them at St James’ Park given the Tyne-Wear Derby is on the horizon next – something Scott Parker knows all too well as a former Magpie in his own right.
For Eddie Howe’s men it’s about momentum. And Burnley? It’s pure damage limitation.
Enter Nick Woltemade. The towering 6ft 6in German international, who’s done a stand-up job filling the shoes of Alexander Isak since arriving from VfB Stuttgart in the summer with eight goals to his name in black and white.
If you fancy going beyond our 3-1 prediction, this 6/4 Bet Builder is well worth a look: Newcastle to win, over 2.5 goals and Woltemade to score anytime.
Tottenham 1-1 Brentford
It’s a third London Derby in a matter of weeks for Tottenham and, for Thomas Frank in particular, a meeting with the ghost of Christmas past.
After a seven-year spell in west London that saw him guide the Bees to Premier League promotion and four straight seasons of survival, Frank now finds himself in a much more difficult position:
Steering Spurs through a wildly inconsistent campaign.
The Lilywhites sit behind only Wolves at the bottom of the Premier League home table; a stark contrast to their impressive away form, as seen in the late 2-2 draw with Newcastle at St James’ Park midweek.
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Brentford, meanwhile, continue to punch above their weight, largely thanks to the efforts of yet another uncut gem in Igor Thiago.
The Brazilian sits second in the Premier League Golden Boot race with 11 goals, just behind Erling Haaland with 15, and is averaging 1.55 shots on target per game – more than any other Brentford player.
He also plays a starring role in this 8/1 Bet Builder: the game to end in a draw, both teams to score and Thiago over 1.5 shots on target.
A chaotic, back-and-forth game with no outright winner at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium? Sounds about right.
Leeds 1-1 Liverpool
It is amazing how one result can change things.
Leeds had lost four in a row going into Wednesday’s game at home to Chelsea, but their 3-1 win breathed new life into a faltering campaign - and lifted them out of the bottom three.
Liverpool travel to Yorkshire on Saturday, still struggling to find form. A 1-1 draw at home to Sunderland midweek, where on another day they may have lost, isn’t really what fans are expecting from defending champions.
Form is evading the Reds, but history is on their side here. They haven’t lost at Elland Road since 2000, and won 6-1 here on their last visit two years ago.
We aren’t envisioning a repeat of that, but we don’t see the visitors losing. After their first draw of the season on Wednesday, another could be on the cards here.
Leeds will be buoyed by the Chelsea win, but despite their struggles, Liverpool do have the players to produce moments of quality.
Mo Salah scored twice in that 6-1 win, and we like the look of the 19/2 for the Egyptian to score in a draw in this one.
He was missing from the starting lineup in the last two games, but Arne Slot turned to the 33-year-old to help rescue a point against Sunderland, and there is every chance he enters this one from the start and add to his nine goals in six Premier League matches against Leeds.
Brighton 2-1 West Ham
West Ham must be sick of the sight of Brighton.
The Hammers have won just one of the 16 clashes between the sides since the Seagulls reached the Premier League, a slightly mystifying record that makes this fixture look like a home banker.
The stats at the Amex certainly point that way. Both teams have found the net in six of the eight meetings there in that period while over 2.5 goals has landed in five, including the last four straight.
Another entertaining, goal-filled afternoon looks nailed on. However, Hammers boss Nuno Espirito Santo offers significant resistance.
He has lost just twice in 10 career meetings with Brighton and remains unbeaten against opposite number Fabian Hurzeler.
That tactical resilience suggests the visitors won't simply be rolled over. But the data still points overwhelmingly towards a home win and Danny Welbeck’s personal record makes for compelling reading too.
He has more goal contributions against West Ham than any other club and comes into this clash in searing form with seven goals and an assist across his last 11 games.
For that reason backing a Brighton win, both teams to score and Welbeck to score or assist makes for a sensible punt at 3/1.
The home side’s dominance in this fixture should tell but, as Aston Villa showed midweek, they can be got at and Nuno’s charges can at least land a blow in a narrow defeat.
Fulham 2-2 Crystal Palace
“And Solskjaer has won it” at the Nou Camp in 1999, the Miracle of Istanbul in 2005, Newcastle 4-4 Arsenal in 2011.
If Fulham had completed the comeback against Manchester City on Tuesday night, it would have been ranked right up there with the most impressive comebacks in history.
They were 5-1 down to Pep Guardiola’s charges but got it back to 5-4 before exerting some late pressure in a bid to get the equaliser. They fell just short, but might it be the shot in the arm for this frustrating Fulham side and their manager Marco Silva?
If they are to get their season back on track here, they will have to beat Crystal Palace at Craven Cottage for the first time since 2005.
The Eagles are in fine form. A home defeat to Manchester United does not blight the formbook too drastically. That was their only loss in five league games and they find themselves in the top six in an admittedly bunched up league.
With 23 points from their opening 14 games, it is the highest tally ever collected at this stage of a Premier League season in the club’s history.
Fulham have scored at least once in every home game in all competitions bar one game, a 1-0 home defeat to Arsenal. The visitors have scored in seven of their last eight games on the road in all competitions.
With that in mind, we like the look of a score draw and over 3.5 goals in the game at juicy odds of 19/2.
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Odds correct at time of publication but subject to change. Please note: This week's Golden Goals deadline is Saturday 6th December 15:00. Opt-in is required and you can find out more here.
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