BETMGM GOLDEN GOALS MD25: ARSENAL SLIP UP… BUT SO DO MAN CITY
There’s a six-point gap at the top of the table with Manchester City and Aston Villa dropping points last week and Arsenal thrashing Leeds.
The Gunners have the chance to pile more pressure on the chasing pack as they take on Sunderland at the Emirates, though the Black Cats are enjoying a fine return to the top flight.
City, meanwhile, head to Anfield to face Liverpool in a fixture that hasn’t been kind to them over the years.
Elsewhere rock-bottom Wolves host Chelsea, there is an M23 Derby between Brighton and Crystal Palace, Newcastle are at home to Brentford and Fulham welcome Everton to Craven Cottage.
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Here’s how we see things playing out on Matchday 25…
Arsenal 1-1 Sunderland
Monday’s comprehensive win over Burnley moved Regis Le Bris’s side onto 36 points, just five points outside the top four. They couldn’t, could they?
Most likely not, no. But the Wearsiders are very tough to beat, despite losses in their last two games on the road.
Only Arsenal and Manchester United have lost fewer games than their six and they can be a tough nut to crack defensively, too.
Prior to their last two away games, they had shipped just 11 goals away from the Stadium of Light and, even with those two defeats included, they have the joint-third-best backline in the league.
However Sunderland haven’t beaten the Gunners since 2012 in any competition and they have never won at the Emirates.
They aren’t supposed to get anything from this game – but they weren’t supposed to be unbeaten at home, in the top eight or the first team to score twice against Arsenal this season either.
Record buy Habib Diarra was injured for much of the campaign but scored in the Burnley win, playing alongside the impressive Noah Sadiki and Enzo Le Fee.
Le Fee has had a shot on target in three of his last four games and is a long 17/1 to have another in a heroic draw for the visitors.
Four of their 10 league visits here have finished 0-0 – what they would give for another one in their quest for a second-ever European campaign.
Fulham 2-1 Everton
Level on points and goal difference, the only thing separating these two Premier League stalwarts in ninth and 10th is goals scored – a stat that favours the home side in this Saturday afternoon fixture.
Harry Wilson is largely to thank for that. His eight goals not only account for a quarter of Fulham’s total haul but also mark a career-best return, placing the Welshman joint-seventh in the Golden Boot race.
That’s three more than Thierno Barry, Everton’s leading goalscorer, and double the combined total of Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Iliman Ndiaye.
Not that David Moyes’ Everton will mind all too much, having quietly gone unbeaten in a five-game run that includes four draws and a hard-fought win at Villa Park.
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Equally impressive is Fulham’s four-game unbeaten run at Craven Cottage, where the hosts have scored at least two goals in each of their last three outings with Wilson finding the net in all of them.
A game like this usually screams stalemate – especially with the Cottagers conceding seven in their last seven – and yet we’re still leaning towards a win for Marco Silva’s side given the quality shown in recent performances.
Even more so after last week’s late drama at Old Trafford, where they came agonisingly close to getting something from the game despite going 2-0 down.
Expect their in-form winger to be involved again here… just as involved as he is in our 19/2 Bet Builder: Fulham to win, both teams to score and Wilson to score anytime.
Wolves 1-3 Chelsea
It’s pretty much game over for Wolves.
Sitting 18 points from safety with one win all season, it’s safe to say the Old Gold should start preparing for life back in the Championship.
A brief revival saw them go four unbeaten with creditable draws against Manchester United and Newcastle – but last week’s tame defeat to Bournemouth was a return to the disappointment that has clouded much of their campaign.
Chelsea are the visitors to Molineux on Saturday and can heap more misery on the league’s bottom side as they hunt down a Champions League spot.
Liam Rosenior has won all three of his Premier League matches in charge of the Blues and their comeback victory over West Ham last week showed their resolve as well as moments of quality.
Enzo Fernandez has two in two and eight Premier League goals so far overall. The Chelsea midfielder is enjoying his best scoring season for the club, with only Joao Pedro having more goals than him.
Wolves have conceded two or more on 14 occasions this season and we can only see that happening again.
The 13/4 for Fernandez to score anytime and Chelsea to score over 1.5 goals looks well-priced as a result.
The Blues have only failed to score once on the road in the league and, with Wolves’ meagre two clean sheets all season, that is unlikely to happen here.
Newcastle 1-2 Brentford
All is not well on Tyneside. Eddie Howe’s men were demolished 4-1 by Liverpool at Anfield last weekend despite going ahead and looking good value for the lead.
They are aiming to avoid a third straight defeat in the league against a high-flying Brentford outfit. Part of their struggles centres around their failure to hold onto a lead, dropping 16 points from winning positions this season.
They could be missing talismanic midfielder Bruno Guimaraes. Remarkably, since their now-captain joined the club four years ago, they have never won a Premier League match when he’s out of the starting lineup.
We can see Brentford piling on the misery here if Guimaraes doesn’t make it. They are in fine form and a battling 1-0 win with 10 men against the high-flying Aston Villa last weekend will breathe further belief into the Bees.
Part of the secret to their success could be down to their ability to hit the target. They have managed 35 goals this season, the seventh-highest in the division. However, they have taken the fourth-fewest shots in the league yet carry the highest shots-on-target percentage (39.3%).
That ruthlessness could be thanks to the form of Igor Thiago. Brentford’s brilliant Brazilian has 16 league goals this term; only Erling Haaland has managed more. Thiago to find the net in a Brentford win is 22/5.
This one will go to the away side as the Keith Andrews fairytale rumbles on.
Brighton 1-1 Crystal Palace
There have been whispers around Fabian Hurzeler and whether his role as manager is safe after some patchy recent Brighton form.
The Seagulls have just one win in 11, though they are still within touching distance of the European places given the bunched-up nature of the Premier League table this year.
However, Hurzeler might point to last weekend’s last-minute Everton equaliser as an example of the fine margins his men are finding themselves on the wrong side of recently. Indeed, no team has drawn more games than Brighton’s 10 this season.
Crystal Palace have had a wretched time of it. After starting the season so promisingly off the back of a memorable FA Cup-winning campaign, they are slipping dangerously close to a relegation battle.
Statistics point to their struggles in front of goal as a possible reason for their demise. Across Europe’s top five leagues, no team has a bigger underperformance in xG vs actual goals (25 goals vs an xG of 38.0) than the south London outfit.
Regardless, this M23 Derby could be tight. We’re backing a low-scoring, 1-1 draw with over 5.5 goalkeeper saves at 9/1; a scoreline that has landed six times between these two in seven years.
Liverpool 3-2 Manchester City
The main event of the weekend is one synonymous with the Premier League title throughout the 2010s.
It still is in 2026 – even with 14 points separating the reigning champions from top spot going into the weekend.
It’s Liverpool vs Manchester City and we’re predicting fireworks in a five-goal thriller that lives up to expectations… much to the pain of the Reds’ storied rivals.
You see, getting in front isn’t City’s problem. It’s seeing games out and, at a ground like Anfield where they’ve only won only twice in 30-plus years, the pressure only mounts.
Pep Guardiola's side have scored 21 more goals than their opponents this season before half-time but only five more than them after it. That’s 17 goals conceded in second halves compared to just six in the first 45.
So while it’s likely the Citizens take an early lead – as they did against Spurs last weekend – they’ve shown they can wilt when pressed; right as Arne Slot’s men have begun to show some form.
Liverpool have lost just once in their last 12 league games and have scored 10 in their last two, against Qarabag in the Champions League and Newcastle last weekend, providing an emphatic response after their late defeat to Bournemouth.
We’re going for a Liverpool win in an occasion that doesn’t get any bigger – just like this 14/5 Bet Builder: City to win one half, both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
Time will tell if this result goes on to dent Guardiola’s chances of a seventh Premier League title but, if Arsenal do go on to win the league, Matchday 25 could be one the Gunners look back on fondly.
Odds correct at time of publication but subject to change. Please note: This week's Golden Goals deadline is Saturday 8th February 2026 12:30. Opt-in is required and you can find out more here.
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