BETMGM GOLDEN GOALS MD28: ARSENAL TO CONTINUE CHELSEA DOMINANCE?
Arsenal take on Chelsea to round off Matchday 28, looking to build on last weekend's demolition of Tottenham and strengthen their position at the top of the Premier League.
Title rivals Manchester City make a tricky trip to Elland Road to face Leeds – a ground where they haven’t lost since 2004.
Newcastle welcome Everton to St James’ Park while West Ham, who have turned a corner in recent weeks, head to Anfield.
Manchester United will aim to keep up their Champions League push at home to Crystal Palace while Brighton take on Nottingham Forest on the south coast.
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Here’s how we see things playing out on Matchday 28…
Brighton 1-1 Nottingham Forest
Just seven points separate these two Premier League sides… less than ideal if you’re Nottingham Forest, who continue to hang perilously close to the relegation zone as West Ham pile pressure on the Tricky Trees.
Pressure that only mounts with Forest failing to score in 12 top-flight games this season – second only to all-but-relegated Wolves.
Brighton find themselves in a similar boat, underperforming their xG by four, which helps explain the six-match winless run they’ve just ended with the 2-0 victory over Brentford last weekend.
Vitor Pereira’s side weren’t so fortunate, losing 1-0 to a late Alexis Mac Allister breakthrough despite looking the much better side against reigning Premier League champions Liverpool.
Still, we’re going with points shared at the Amex.
These two have met just 20 times, drawing seven of those encounters; throw in the urgency to avoid a relegation scrap going into the final 10 games of the season and you get a cagey draw albeit one not without its moments.
We’re paying 24/1 for a draw, under 2.5 goals and Danny Welbeck to score, as he looks to roll back the clock again to notch his 10th goal of the season in blue and white.
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Liverpool 2-1 West Ham
West Ham have given themselves a fighting chance of survival.
Nuno Espirito Santo’s Hammers have lost just one of their last six and are now within two points of safety.
A trip to Anfield probably isn’t what they would have chosen to continue the run – the Reds have lost just twice in their last 15 Premier League matches.
Liverpool have also tasted defeat once in 20 meetings with West Ham and have won an astonishing 17 of them. The Irons haven’t managed a victory at Anfield for over a decade.
They have won two of their last three away games but those are two of a paltry three all season and they have kept only two clean sheets on the road to boot.
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Crysencio Summerville will be one of the main threats for the visitors. The Dutchman has four Premier League goals and 13 shots on target, but it won’t be enough for the visitors to come away with anything.
Despite Liverpool’s dominance in this fixture, the last four meetings in all competitions at Anfield have seen both teams score. Summerville to have a shot on target, both teams to score and Liverpool to win here is a very tasty 4/1.
The visitors won’t make it easy, but they will just fall short against a side that really must win if they have Champions League hopes.
Newcastle 3-1 Everton
It’s been a strange campaign for both these teams.
Newcastle are flying in the Champions League. Wednesday night’s 3-2 victory over Qarabag secured a 9-3 aggregate win, which means they have reached the last 16 in that competition for just the second time in their history.
However, it’s been a more frustrating domestic campaign. Indeed, they have won just one of their past six league matches, leaving them nine points from fifth place with just 11 games to go.
At least they are an exciting watch. There have been 40 goals in the last 10 games involving Newcastle.
Everton will be glad to be on the road again after yet another home defeat on Monday night. The Toffees have now lost more Premier League games at the Hill Dickinson Stadium in 2025-26 than they did at Goodison Park last season.
They are also unbeaten in five on the road in all competitions. But they are struggling to find the net consistently, scoring two or more goals in just two of the last 13 games.
We can see them grabbing one here – but it won’t stop a home win. Add both teams to score and over 3.5 goals into the betslip for a Bet Builder with odds of 4/1.
Leeds 1-3 Manchester City
Manchester City believe they can win the title.
Arsenal may have thrashed Spurs last week to move five points clear but, with a game in hand and the Gunners still to play at the Etihad, the Citizens know their destiny is in their own hands.
This is a tough assignment though, no doubt about it.
Leeds have turned their season around. They may not be out of danger but the Whites have lost just twice in their last 14 games.
One of those defeats was a 4-0 reverse to Arsenal and City will be looking to emulate their title rivals here.
It’s been 22 years since they lost at Elland Road, albeit with a large gap in fixtures as Leeds toiled in the divisions below, and we’re expecting that run to continue.
The 3-2 defeat at the Etihad was the catalyst for the change in Leeds’ fortunes, with only a last-minute Phil Foden goal preventing Daniel Farke’s men from taking a point.
City may not be at their fluid best but they have suffered only one Premier League defeat in 15 and have won four of their last five.
They look good to make that five of their last six. They’ve scored at least twice in their last five games while Gianluigi Donnarumma is a goalkeeper to win you matches and titles. Just ask Newcastle – he made six saves against the Mapgies last week.
City to win and score over 1.5 goals plus Donnarumma to make over 2.5 saves is 13/5 as the title race and the relegation battle look like going down to the wire.
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Manchester United 3-0 Crystal Palace
Interim Manchester United manager Michael Carrick is doing his level best to get the job on a permanent basis before the season is out.
Since he’s been at the wheel, he’s steered the Red Devils to a return of 16 points from 18 available in a run of games that included title hopefuls Arsenal and Manchester City.
It has left United in pole position to claim a Champions League spot.
The last two games have shown signs of the momentum waning. They were poor in the 1-1 draw with relegation contenders West Ham and were scrappy in the 1-0 win over Everton.
They have Benjamin Sesko to thank for keeping the show on the road. The big Slovenian striker hasn’t had many opportunities to show what he can do from the start, but he has the fourth-highest non-penalty goals per 90 minutes in the league at 0.55.
Only Erling Haaland (0.77), Eli Junior Kroupi (0.76) and Hugo Ekitike (0.56) have better returns in this metric.
Crystal Palace are enduring a nightmare season and are not yet safe from relegation, despite a hard-fought 1-0 home win over bottom-side Wolves at the weekend.
With a wantaway manager, a fractured squad and a misfiring frontline which last scored more than one goal in a domestic game back in December last year, it’s difficult to see any other result than a home win. Add a Sesko goal to that outcome and you get odds of 7/4.
Arsenal 3-1 Chelsea
It’s the league leaders’ second London Derby in the space of a week – and, judging by Chelsea’s recent record against the Gunners over the years, looks to be theirs to lose.
The Blues haven’t beaten one of their fiercest rivals in almost half a decade. Thomas Tuchel was the last to do it.
With Liam Rosenior having already lost both legs of the EFL Cup semi-final that run looks set to continue.
Especially with their Gerd Muller Trophy-winning striker Viktor Gyokeres winding up and finding the sort of form that has contributed to Arsenal scoring 14 goals in their last five matches alone.
In fact, no player has scored more goals in 2026 in all competitions than Gyokeres’s eight – a list that also includes high-profile summer arrivals in Hugo Ekitike, Joao Pedro, Nick Woltemade and Benjamin Sesko.
Momentum from the North London Derby win should only add further fuel to their title charge – perhaps even more so after dropping points against a 10-man Chelsea in the reverse fixture back in November.
We expect another high-intensity encounter – the perfect stage for our 21/4 Bet Builder here: Arsenal to win, Gyokeres to score and the woodwork to be hit by either side.
Why the post angle? These London sides have combined to hit the woodwork 18 times this season and both should create plenty of chances once again.
Odds correct at time of publication but subject to change. Please note: This week's Golden Goals deadline is Saturday 28th February 2026 12:30. Opt-in is required and you can find out more here.
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