BETMGM GOLDEN GOALS MD37: BRENTFORD & BRIGHTON PUSH EUROPEAN RACE TO WIRE
The title race may be going to the wire but there is plenty to play for in the rest of the table too – including the small matter of the relegation battle.
West Ham are currently in the bottom three but can climb out if they beat Newcastle at St James’ Park, with the Magpies’ season fizzling out.
The race for Europe is also on. Everton and Sunderland both have hopes but both need to win their meeting on Merseyside, while Brentford can strengthen their own push by beating Crystal Palace.
Brighton are well in the race, too, and face a tricky trip to a now-safe Leeds.
Elsewhere, Nottingham Forest head to Old Trafford to take on Manchester United and already-relegated Wolves host Fulham in a game that both sides can play with the pressure off.
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Here’s how we see things going on Matchday 37…
Brentford 2-0 Crystal Palace
Brentford’s European push took a slight detour last time out but is still very much on if they can get past a Crystal Palace side that have clearly put all their eggs in the Conference League final basket.
And they’ll certainly need to, with Anfield awaiting them on the final day of the season in a high-stakes game that could actually require them to lose to Liverpool to qualify for Europe.
This, of course, hinges on Aston Villa’s own success in the Europa League final and whether or not they finish fifth.
That’s a problem for another day… for now the objective is as clear as it gets: win their last home game of the season to stay in touching distance of the top seven.
We believe they will – and somewhat comfortably if Igor Thiago has his shooting boots on.
The Brazil international is second only to Erling Haaland in the Golden Boot race with 22 to his name and has scored in three of his last five outings at Brentford Community Stadium.
And what better way to round out his most successful season in front of goal than with another in the penultimate game of the season in front of a raucous crowd?
Throw in Jorgen Strand-Larsen to commit two fouls or more – as he’s done twice on average per 90 for Wolves and Palace this season – and you get this 4/1 Bet Builder: Brentford to win, Igor Thiago to score and Strand Larsen to commit over 1.5 fouls.
Everton 1-2 Sunderland
It may seem there isn’t too much to play for here but both Everton and Sunderland do still have European hopes with two games to play.
The Black Cats couldn’t quite maintain the form of the first half of the season but it has still been a memorable Premier League return for Regis Le Bris’ men.
Everton, meanwhile, have enjoyed their best season in years under David Moyes and will be looking to round off the first campaign at the Hill Dickinson in style.
The Toffees have won just twice since early December at their new home and have suffered seven defeats here overall. Sunderland have just one defeat in their last five away matches – and they could easily have won that game at Aston Villa.
They were impressive last time out against Manchester United and will be targeting a top-half finish at least.
Sunderland have already beaten Everton here in the FA Cup and both teams have scored in both meetings so far into the bargain.
Both teams to score forms part of our 11/1 Bet Builder for this one.
Brian Brobbey has six goals in the Premier League and six shots on target in his last six games. We’re backing him to force at least a goalkeeper save here alongside Everton’s Beto, who has eight on target in his last six.
Trai Hume has been a dependable right-back for the Wearsiders and has made the step up to the top flight ably. He has, though, picked up nine yellow cards in the league and was also carded in extra time during the FA Cup tie in January.
The 24-year-old to be carded here rounds off our Bet Builder on what could be a good day for the Mackems.
Leeds 1-2 Brighton
Despite securing Premier League security relatively comfortably, Leeds worked relentlessly hard against Tottenham to get a point on Monday.
They managed four shots on target and covered 113.63 km in the game, 2.7% more than the hosts, who have much more on the line.
Any insinuation that they are on the beach can be put to one side. But here, they face a tough tie against an in-form Brighton chasing European football.
The Seagulls are unbeaten in all of their Premier League meetings against the Whites. Interestingly, this is one of the lower-scoring affairs historically, with just 13 in seven fixtures at fewer than two goals per game on average.
Maxim De Cuyper registered two assists in the opening five minutes of his side’s 3-0 win over Wolves on Saturday. Only Andriy Arshavin – for Arsenal against Newcastle in February 2011 – and Islam Slimani for Leicester against Manchester City in December 2016 can lay claim to such a feat.
He now has three assists in three games and we think he looks a decent price to continue to close the season with a flourish.
Brighton to take the points and De Cuyper to score or assist comes in at 5/1.
Wolves 1-1 Fulham
Two of the most out-of-form sides clash, with the hosts aiming to avoid a fifth defeat in six.
Wolves’ 24th league loss of the season to Brighton saw them complete an unwanted clean sweep – they’ve now been defeated by every one of the 19 teams they’ve faced, a feat previously achieved only by Sheffield United in the 2023–24 campaign.
There were some harsh words from boss Rob Edwards after that match and it’s difficult to see how his charges will be motivated.
However Fulham are stumbling to end the season, too.
The Cottagers have recently struggled at the tail-end of the campaign, losing five of their last six Premier League matches during the month of May.
They’ve also drawn a blank in front of goal in four of those six games.
This is a dead rubber and there is little to play for. As such, we like under 1.5 goals and the match to end in a draw at odds of 13/1.
Newcastle 1-3 West Ham
West Ham’s chances of Premier League survival took a major hit last Sunday… for at least 24 hours before Tottenham threw them yet another lifeline.
Nuno Espirito Santo’s side are but two points away from safety as it stands, with a trip to the North East next and the opportunity to taste momentary bliss two days before Chelsea host Spurs in easily the biggest London Derby in quite some time.
Knowing what’s at stake and how crucial a win is at this stage, we expect the Irons to strike while this opportunity is hot against a flailing Newcastle side they beat 3-1 in November and 2-0 in this exact fixture last season.
The only difference is we expect the Magpies to at least find the back of the net themselves this time around, having scored in all but one Premier League game on Tyneside.
Which would be far more impressive if it weren’t for the fact that a team known for its defensive stability has conceded 29 times at St James’ Park – four shy of the 33 scored and nine more than last year’s total tally in the league.
More concerningly for Eddie Howe, his side have conceded two or more goals in five of their last seven on home soil – 10 out of 18 if you’re going off every game so far.
With Europe looking nigh on impossible for Newcastle now too, we’re going for a repeat of the reverse fixture here but also, a 10/3 Bet Builder made of a West Ham win, both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
Manchester United 3-2 Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest are safe and Manchester United have qualified for the Champions League, so we could be in for an entertaining afternoon at Old Trafford.
The Red Devils will surely want to put on more of a performance than they did in the 0-0 draw at Sunderland, particularly as Michael Carrick auditions for the full-time job.
This one won’t be easy for the home side – the Tricky Trees have won their last three away games and scored 11 goals.
They are also unbeaten in their last five Premier League meetings with United, so will be heading into this clash full of confidence.
The Red Devils, though, have turned their season around under Carrick and will want to end on a high in front of their own fans.
Casemiro, in particular, will want to put on a show. The veteran midfielder is making his final appearance at Old Trafford and will leave the club at the end of the season.
His nine league goals have been vital in their Champions League push and we’re backing him to make it to double figures for the first time in his career.
The Brazilian also has 10 yellow cards – and one more could well be on the agenda here. In celebration as he scores for United for what could be the final time?
We’ll let you decide but Casemiro to score and be carded is our 18/1 Bet Builder.
Odds correct at time of publication but subject to change. Please note: This week's Golden Goals deadline is Sunday 16th May 2026 12:30. Opt-in is required and you can find out more here.
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