BETMGM GOLDEN GOALS MD4: MANCHESTER DERBY TAKES CENTRE STAGE
The end of the international window heralds the return of Premier League football – and with it the first Manchester Derby of the season.
It may not be the title jousts of old – Manchester United sit ninth, City 13th – but entertainment remains virtually guaranteed when red meets blue at the Etihad.
Elsewhere on the Golden Goals Matchday 4 Saturday slate, Everton host Aston Villa and Newcastle welcome Wolves while West Ham and Tottenham face off in a London Derby.
Our Sunday service not only includes the Manchester Derby but champions Liverpool’s trip to a formidable Turf Moor to take on Burnley.
Remember, successfully predicting the scorelines in these games could net you up to £250,000. The best part? Getting as few as two scores correct could mean one of several prizes heading your way, ranging from Free Bets to a share of £5,000 cash!
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We’ve run the numbers on all six Matchday 4 games to help you make your selections. Here’s how we see things unfolding…
Fulham 1-1 Leeds
While goals at both ends are a constant in this fixture, Fulham have become masters of an even more specific art form: the 1-1 draw.
It’s a scoreline Marco Silva’s men have posted seven times in their 12 stalemates since last August – including twice already this season.
A newfound home resolve at Craven Cottage, where they're unbeaten in two for only the second time this calendar year, supports the case for a stubborn point.
That resilience will be tested, but perhaps not broken, by a Leeds side struggling with their away days after a 5-0 league humbling at Arsenal was followed by a shock cup exit at Sheffield Wednesday.
Even last season’s Championship title-winning run saw Leeds drop points in more than half their away matches and that travel sickness is now compounded by a distinct lack of cutting edge.
The Whites carry a league-low 12.1% shot accuracy – or a little over 1.3 on target per 90, if you prefer – a bluntness that points to a busy afternoon for Bernd Leno. The German is one of the division’s most active keepers, averaging over three saves per game.
It all tees up our 15/2 Bet Builder: the match to end in a draw, both teams to score and the Fulham goalkeeper to make over 2.5 saves.
Everton 2-0 Aston Villa
This is a game in which Jack Grealish takes centre stage.
The ex-Aston Villa man has been in sensational form since signing for Everton on loan from Manchester City, registering four assists in three games. No other player tops that number.
He appears to have struck up a fruitful understanding with Iliman Ndiaye, who has two goals in his three appearances. Don’t be surprised to see Grealish drive to the byline and pull it back for an Ndiaye tap-in.
You can get odds of 10/1 on Grealish to get an assist and Ndiaye to score.
While it’s been mostly sunshine and roses for the Toffees so far this season, the Villans have been going through a sticky patch.
They have no goals – the only Premier League team not to register one – as well as no points and the second-lowest xG with 0.83 per game.
That’s despite controlling the ball in the majority of matches, with their average of 58.87% the third-highest in the division.
The signings of Harvey Elliott and Jadon Sancho may help alleviate the pressure on Villa’s forward line, but this represents another tough fixture. Home win.
Newcastle 3-0 Wolves
After a tumultuous summer of ins and outs, the Magpies can turn their full focus to a massive week of football with the Champions League on the horizon.
The departure of Alexander Isak has been supplemented by the arrivals of Nick Woltemade from VfB Stuttgart, Jacob Ramsey from Aston Villa, Anthony Elanga from Nottingham Forest and Yoane Wissa from Brentford.
Suddenly, a threadbare strikeforce looks to have depth and guile.
But the new players will need to hit the ground running. Eddie Howe’s charges have just two points from their opening three games, registering the third-lowest in the division 0.96 xG per 90.
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And most importantly, they need three actual points.
Lucky for them, they face a porous Wolves team that are among the early favourites to get relegated.
The Black Country side have conceded eight goals in three games and their winless run in the Premier League now stretches to seven games back to the tail end of last year’s campaign.
The stage is set for a comfortable Magpies victory and a debut goal for Woltemade. Construct a Bet Builder at odds of 11/5 by backing Newcastle on the -1 handicap and Woltemade to score.
West Ham 2-2 Tottenham
Two of London’s more experienced Premier League sides couldn’t have had a more different start to the season.
That was until Golden Goals Matchday 3 when they traded places with West Ham thrashing Nottingham Forest 3-0 while Tottenham turned their home game against Bournemouth into a glorified goalkeeper training session, facing 20 shots to their five and still losing 1-0.
This sets up an engrossing clash at the London Stadium on Saturday afternoon where goals are all but guaranteed, as has been the case in all four of their last top-flight meetings – two ending in a draw and a win apiece.
In other words, we expect Guglielmo Vicario to have a busy day at the office once again, especially with Lucas Paqueta on the pitch.
The Brazilian has two goals in his last two Premier League games, one a left-footed rocket from outside the box and the other from 12 yards.
Put it all together and you get 11/1 for both teams to score, Vicario to make over 3.5 saves and Paqueta to score in what will likely go down as another hard-hitting stalemate in the capital.
Burnley 0-3 Liverpool
Turf Moor is a formidable place to visit: Burnley haven’t lost a competitive game there since May 2024 and built their promotion on a historic defence that conceded just 16 goals last season.
But the Premier League is a different beast. While the Clarets have won their only home league fixture this term, the underlying numbers overall paint a worrying picture.
Burnley have allowed the highest xG in the division across the opening three games, a small but significant statistical dam that looks fit to burst against messrs Salah, Ekitike, Wirtz and Gakpo. Oh, and Mr Isak now too.
While the champions surprisingly dropped points in eight away games last season and Salah has a curious personal drought at Turf Moor, having never scored there, the Reds have lost just one league game at this ground since 1973.
This feels like a day Liverpool’s new-look attack could truly ignite. Isak is unlikely to start the game but has scored in both his previous appearances against Burnley while Wirtz, yet to register a goal or assist for the Reds, arrives fresh from scoring for Germany.
That’s why our 3/1 Bet Builder focuses on the gifted German to finally make his mark with a goal or assist as Liverpool’s firepower proves too much in a victory to-nil.
Manchester City 1-1 Manchester United
What do you get when a Manchester City side enduring their worst start under Pep Guardiola yet meets a Manchester United team that’s just been knocked out the League Cup by Grimsby Town and barely scraped past Burnley? You get arguably one of the most evenly-matched Manchester Derbys in recent memory.
Even in turbulent times, Erling Haaland has continued to do Erling Haaland things in a sky blue shirt, especially on the international stage having scored five goals midweek for Norway.
The Norwegian already leads the Premier League Golden Boot race with three goals to his name while, against the Red Devils, he has six goals and three assists in five appearances
Despite an ugly start, United appear to be turning the corner under Ruben Amorim. They lead the league in key attacking metrics such as total shots, xG, fast breaks and more.
And if there’s one defence you want to hit on the break right now, it’s the eight-time Premier League champions.
A win for either side could shift the mood in Manchester but the likelier outcome is a tight, low-scoring draw between two sides still finding their rhythm.
Fashion all that into your Sunday Bet Builder and you’ll get 15/1 for a draw, Haaland to score or assist and under 2.5 goals in the game.
Odds correct at time of publication but subject to change. Please note: This week's Golden Goals deadline is Saturday 13th September, 15:00. Opt-in is required and you can find out more here.
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