UFC 323 Betting Tips: All Action at the Final Event of 2025
The UFC heads to fabulous Las Vegas, Nevada for arguably its biggest event of the year, featuring two marquee title fights headlined by Dvalishvili vs Yan 2!
Merab ‘The Machine’ Dvalishvili (21-4-0) has the chance to make Ultimate Fighting Championship history against redemption-seeking Petr ‘No Mercy’ Yan (19-5-0) for the coveted Bantamweight title.
How these fights go is for you to call, but we’ve set aside three tips to help you decide as three of the most popular letters in MMA heads to the Strip.
Tip 1 – Merab Dvalishvili by Decision @ 12/25
What’s left to say about Merab Dvalishvili’s 2025? After winning the Bantamweight title in late 2024, the Georgian has defended it three times this year and in impressive fashion.
Decision victories over Umar Nurmagomedov and Cory Sandhagen, followed by a submission over Sean O’Malley in the title rematch, have set The Machine up for potential greatness in the entertainment capital of the world.
One more win would make him the first fighter in UFC history to defend their title four times in a single year.
Facing him is a familiar foe in Petr Yan – who the champ beat in March 2023 with a clean sweep of the scorecards.
We’re backing Dvalishvili to win by decision as we can’t see a world where he doesn’t get over the line here. His unrelenting, soul-crushing style is tailor-made for this sort of fight and stage.
Simply put: there will be no stopping him.
Tip 2 – Joshua Van by KO, TKO or DQ @ 11/2
Arguably the most difficult fight to call at UFC 323 is the co-main event starring flyweight champion Alexandre Pantoja (30-5-0) and challenger Joshua Van (15-2-0).
Pantoja has quickly established himself as one of the most complete flyweights to compete at championship level – a confident fighter capable of forcing scrambles and engaging his opponents in frustrating grappling exchanges.
Van, on the other hand, is a highly proficient striker known for putting on banger after banger, notably his last contest with Brandon Royval which went right to the wire to earn him this opportunity at the big time.
The champion has confidently put away title challengers since winning the belt in 2023 and will need to ground Van if he has any hope of nullifying his impeccable KO power, which he will succeed in throughout the fight.
Bridging the distance too often could be his undoing – especially against a fighter who currently lands the most significant strikes per minute in the entire UFC (8.86).
We’re going with the spectacular here and you can too at a champion-crowning 11/2.
Tip 3 – Payton Talbott to Win & Over 1.5 Rounds @ 3/5
Much has been said about the hype surrounding Payton Talbott (10-1-0) but, if there’s one thing we’re virtually certain of, it’s that the Nevada native will get the better of Henry Cejudo (16-5-0).
Cejudo’s UFC career is clearly winding down. His last fight was in February where he lost by a technical decision to Song Yadong – a fight he was always set to lose, even with the controversial eye poke.
Talbott is six inches taller and holds a six-inch reach advantage over the Olympic gold medallist, and with his ability to land more than six significant strikes per minute, he looks more than equipped to check Cejudo’s chin.
Of course, Triple C has proven immense grit in the past, which should keep him in the game for a round or two.
Will it be enough to hold off one of the biggest prospects in the division under the bright Vegas lights of UFC 323, though? We don’t think so.
Odds correct at time of publication but subject to change
