NFL Most Passing Yards Betting Contenders 2025
The passing yards metric is the easiest to track. For the numbers-driven, stats-obsessed of us, it ticks a lot of boxes. It’s gratifying to watch the numbers tick up, especially if it’s a quarterback you’ve followed since college.
There’s so much that goes into predicting this market. It’s not just about picking the league’s biggest-name quarterbacks.
Other considerations include offensive schemes – does the team lean heavily on the pass or prefer a balanced attack?
How is the supporting cast? Elite receivers and a solid offensive line can boost yardage potential.
Game script also matters; quarterbacks on teams with weaker defenses often rack up yards chasing points.
Don’t dismiss an injury record, either. Just a couple of games on the sideline could wreck any antepost bet on this market.
For reference, the record for the most passing yards in a season belongs to Peyton Manning of the Denver Broncos, who passed for 5,477 yards in 2013. Last year, the indefatigable Joe Burrow managed 4,918 yards.
Below, we look at the market leaders and break down the likeliest contenders…
Dak Prescott @ 9/2
- Team: Dallas Cowboys
- Position: Quarterback
- Age: 32
- Odds: 9/2
Dak Prescott being one of the market leaders is understandable once you look at his recent history, the Cowboys’ offensive formula and some key changes ahead of the 2025 season.
Last year was tough – a serious hamstring injury curtailed his progress.
However, in 2023, he had registered a 69.5% completion percentage, 4,516 passing yards, an NFL-leading 36 passing touchdowns, nine interceptions and a career-high passer rating of 105.9.
With the Cowboys defense equal parts formidable and permeable on any given week, Prescott is going to have to score more for his team to have any success this season.
The pressure will be piled on to put up scores of three or more on a weekly basis. Prescott should be able to handle that pressure.
Jared Goff @ 9/1
- Team: Detroit Lions
- Position: Quarterback
- Age: 30
- Odds: 9/1
Jared Goff is on the rise and there’s no telling where it might stop.
Last year he threw for 4,629 passing yards, 37 touchdowns, 12 interceptions, had a passer rating of 111.8 and a completion percentage of 72.4%.
He’s had a sensational start to the season. He is just one of four quarterbacks in the history of the NFL to have thrown for seven or more touchdowns, completed at least 77% of their passes and earned a 120.0 passer rating or better through the first three weeks.
He may be a touch short in the market but it’s not surprising to see his name in the mix.
Daniel Jones @ 9/1
- Team: Indianapolis Colts
- Position: Quarterback
- Age: 28
- Odds: 9/1
As debut seasons for a franchise go, you’d struggle to find a better start than the one Jones is having at the Colts.
Through four weeks, Jones has been firing on all cylinders, ranking third in the NFL with 1,078 passing yards.
He boasts a sharp 71.9% completion rate and a healthy 103.3 passer rating.
The only question relies on his consistency. Can Jones maintain his level at the top?
He could be a fantastic bet at the odds.
Geno Smith @ 15/1
- Team: Seattle Seahawks
- Position: Quarterback
- Age: 24
- Odds: 15/1
Coming off consistent seasons in the Seahawks’ offense, Geno still offers big-yardage upside and is proving it with some excellent early performances for the Las Vegas Raiders.
With 948 yards through just four games at the beginning of the campaign, Smith is proving a handy pick up for the Raiders and at 15/1, he looks like a decent price.
Kyler Murray @ 100/1
- Team: Arizona Cardinals
- Position: Quarterback
- Age: 28
- Odds: 100/1
The Cardinals’ scheme under Drew Petzing leans on Murray’s arm, with weapons like Marvin Harrison Jr boosting his deep-ball upside.
He’s not had the most dynamic start to the season but the Cardinals start having some softer fixtures in the middle part of the regular season. He could be one to watch when he starts cranking up his howitzer of a throw.
He is jousting with the stat leaders for passes attempted – at the time of writing, he is in 11th with 130 after four games.
He just needs some of them to land for him to climb the rankings.
2025 NFL Most Passing Yards Betting Outsiders
Michael Penix Jr (40/1): Penix is in a growth phase but flashed ability last season in college to generate huge yardage. He has weapons in Atlanta and, with coaching leaning more vertical, he could surprise if he stays healthy and builds rhythm early.
Bo Nix (150/1): Despite his slow start to the season, there is reason to keep the faith in Nix. He posted elite completion rates and passing efficiency in college, especially under pressure. The 2024 first-rounder has potential and, with a schemed offense, he could still outperform expectations, especially in games where Denver needs to throw often to stay competitive.
Bryce Young (250/1): The number one pick in the 2023 NFL Draft came good in the second half of the season last year, averaging approximately 210 yards per game from gameweek eight through to gameweek 18. Overall, critics would argue Young has been inconsistent since joining the Panthers, an eye-test born out by the stats. With him at the helm, they have only managed a win record of 7-24 and he was memorably benched early in the season last year. However, there is a lot of admiration for his ability to find corners and make plays where others can’t. He could still be one to watch.
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Odds correct at time of publication but subject to change
