NFL Week 10 Tips
Week 10 is here and the NFL playoff picture is becoming clearer. Buffalo Bills are rivalling Kansas City Chiefs for Super Bowl favouritism, but neither of them are among the three seven-win teams leading the way in the AFC.
There should be plenty of divisional drama and playoff previews in a sensational slate of Sunday games, which kicks off in Berlin.
We’ve picked out four standout betting tips, including a massive Monday Night Football matchup between Philadelphia Eagles and Green Bay Packers.
TIP 1 – BO NIX 2+ TOUCHDOWN PASSES VS RAIDERS @ 10/13
Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos (Friday, 1:15am GMT)
The Broncos are riding a six-game win streak and have turned Mile High into a fortress.
Their defense has been dominant, forcing multiple turnovers in each of their last three games and holding opponents to under 20 points in four of their last six.
However, the spread could still be a little too big for them to cover in this Thursday night clash with their bitter AFC West rivals from Vegas.
The Raiders have been outscored 112-30 in their last three road games, but the return to fitness of tight end Brock Bowers gives Geno Smith something to work with in the passing game again.
An improved offensive display from the Raiders could bring the best out of Broncos QB Bo Nix.
He has passed for eight touchdowns in Denver’s last three games and should have chances to throw for two or more scores for the fourth time in a row this week.
Remember: BetMGM is paying out early when your team takes a 17-point lead, regardless of the final result. More information can be found here.
TIP 2 – ATLANTA FALCONS +6.5 @ 10/11
Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons (Sunday, 2:30pm GMT)
This looks like a classic ‘trap game’ for the 7-2 Indianapolis Colts, who are favoured by almost a touchdown against a struggling non-conference opponent in an unfamiliar venue.
Indianapolis are nominally the home team at Berlin’s Olympic Stadium for the final International Series game of the season.
And it should be pretty straightforward for the AFC South leaders to punish a Falcons team that’s struggling to stop the run.
Atlanta have allowed 100+ rushing yards in seven of eight games this season, and will have to contend with current NFL rushing leader Jonathan Taylor in the Colts’ backfield.
But the Falcons have a dangerous running back of their own and, if they can stay committed to the run, they can upset the Colts a week before their bye.
The Falcons are 3-0 when Bijan Robinson gets 15+ carries and quarterback Michael Penix Jr threw three touchdown passes in an unlucky loss to the New England Patriots on Sunday.
TIP 3 – TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS -2.5 @ 22/25
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots (Sunday, 6:00pm GMT)
New England Patriots are 7-2 and unbeaten on the road this season, but rookie QB Drake Maye showed signs of vulnerability last week, throwing two interceptions in a narrow 24-23 win over Atlanta.
He now faces a rested Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense that ranks top 10 against the run and has forced 14 turnovers this season.
Tampa Bay are 6-2 and sit second in the NFC playoff race. Baker Mayfield continues to deliver despite injuries to key receivers, while tight end Cade Otton has emerged as a reliable target.
The Bucs have won four games this season with fourth-quarter comebacks, showcasing their resilience and late-game execution.
New England’s defense has struggled to generate pressure, which could allow Mayfield to operate from a clean pocket. That’s bad news for the Patriots, as Mayfield’s passer rating jumps from 53.4 under pressure to 69.1 when protected.
With Tampa Bay rested, disciplined, and playing at home, backing them to cover the 2.5-point spread looks like the smart play.
TIP 4 – PHILADELPHIA EAGLES +2.5 @ 10/11
Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles (Tuesday, 1:15am GMT)
Monday Night Football delivers a playoff rematch between the reigning Super Bowl champion Eagles and the inconsistent Packers.
Jalen Hurts has thrown for 10 touchdowns in his last four games and leads an offence that ranks top five in yards per play.
Green Bay, meanwhile, are coming off a humbling home loss to Carolina Panthers and have failed to cover in five of their last six games.
Jordan Love has struggled under pressure and Philly’s front seven should dominate the line of scrimmage.
With Hurts healthy and the Eagles chasing the NFC’s top seed, they shouldn’t really be the underdogs in this contest.
Odds correct at time of publication but subject to change
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