Champions League Outright Betting Tips: Back Premier League Teams to Shine
The Champions League returns as we go into a second year of the new, extended format.
PSG finally fulfilled a dream of its fans by thrashing Inter 5-0 in the final back in May. Can Luis Enrique and his wonderfully talented team find a way to repeat the feat?
Will Liverpool’s new band of expensively assembled brothers win a first title since 2019? Can perennial winners Real Madrid get ‘el decimosexto’ (the 16th)? Or are we to see an outsider make some waves?
Let’s delve into the runners and riders ahead of the 2025/26 Champions League as we single out our value bets for the competition…
Tip 1 – All Six Premier League Teams To Qualify From League Stage @ 4/5
We think this could be the bet of the season.
A total of 24 teams from 36 can qualify from the league stage. While there are some tough fixtures for each of the Premier League sides, we think they have enough in the tank to float above the waterline.
For comparison, the 24th-placed team from last year needed just 11 points to get over the line – that’s three wins and two ties from eight games.
The four English teams in last year’s competition compiled 21 wins in total between them and lost just seven.
There should be enough depth in quality for Liverpool, Arsenal, Manchester City, Chelsea,Tottenham and Newcastle to advance.
At just under even money there is a solid argument this selection has been overpriced given the quality of the Premier League in comparison to competitions around the continent.
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Tip 2 – Bayern Munich to finish top of the league phase @ 9/1
Despite handily winning the Bundesliga last year, the German giants have been through a couple of transitional seasons under ex-Burnley manager Vincent Kompany .
It’s been a bit bumpy, with some off-field politics clouding the triumphalism of their recent campaign.
There is a lot to like about the Bavarian behemoths, though.
They have some tough group stage fixtures – namely Chelsea, Arsenal and PSG – but two positive results out of those three games is likely to be enough to see them tally enough points to top the group.
Their recent record against English teams in this competition is good, with just three defeats in their past 10 clashes, with an aggregate score of 23-14. For the over/under lovers, that averages 2.7 goals per game.
And, in Harry Kane, they still have one of European football’s premier forwards.
The Englishman has scored 19 goals in 25 European games and is the sharpest of focal points for the dancing and mesmerising minds of Michael Olise and Luis Diaz in behind.
At 10/1, an exemplary Bayern league phase campaign represents solid value.
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Tip 3 – Robert Lewandowski to finish Champions League top scorer @ 8/1
Almost all of this prediction depends on the fitness of Lewandowski, who has struggled with injuries of late.
But, if he’s fit and firing, there’s no real reason why he shouldn’t challenge for the competition's top scorer accolade.
He scored 11 last year, only team-mate Raphinha and Borussia Dortmund’s Serhou Guirassy (13 each) scored more.
The Catalan giants registered the most goals of any team in the league phase, too, with their 28 a whole six more than next highest scorers Borussia Dortmund.
If he stays fit for most of Barcelona’s games, Lewandowski will get plenty of chances.
We know him to be one of the most clinical marksmen in the competition’s history – so we're putting one and one together and finding two here.
Odds correct at time of publication but subject to fluctuation
