BETMGM GOLDEN GOALS MD11: ETIHAD CLASSIC SEES CITY MAKE UP GROUND
It’s a Sunday blockbuster at the Etihad as an Erling Haaland-inspired Manchester City take on a Liverpool side who have put recent troubles behind them with two wins in a week. Both sides need a win to make up ground on leaders Arsenal who head to fourth-placed Sunderland on Saturday.
Elsewhere, Chelsea face basement boys Wolves, West Ham are eying up consecutive wins for the first time this season against Burnley, and Everton host Fulham. Brentford are at home to Newcastle with the Magpies hoping to improve their dismal record on the road.
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Here’s how we see things playing out on Matchday 11…
Everton 2-0 Fulham
After a solid start to life at the Hill Dickinson Stadium for Everton, it all came crashing down to earth with a comprehensive 3-0 defeat to Tottenham nearly a fortnight ago. It was their first loss at their new home, and any concerns around the infamous Goodison Park boos not reverberating around the new architecture were put firmly to bed. The disquiet was deafening.
They earned a creditable draw away to high-flying Sunderland on Monday in a game that perhaps underlined the frustrations among the fan base. They were dominant for large periods, but couldn’t put the game to bed when they had the chance. A missed two-on-one opportunity for Carlos Alcaraz and Idrissa Gueye in the dying embers of the game epitomised their struggles in putting teams away.
Fulham’s 3-0 win over Wolves was much-needed and ended a run of four straight defeats, but it was somewhat skewed by the red card to visitors’ Emmanuel Agbadou, who was harshly deemed as the last man in a clumsy challenge on Josh King. This will be a much better test of their mettle.
We think the Toffees have the tools to pick their way past the Cottagers. No other player in the Premier League has created more chances from open play than Jack Grealish (20). With that in mind, we like the look of a Bet Builder comprising Everton to win and Jack Grealish to score or assist at odds of 13/5.
West Ham 3-1 Burnley
West Ham are officially up and running under Nuno Espirito Santo, having picked up their first win under the new boss with a commanding 3-1 result at the London Stadium against a flat Newcastle side. However, this was more than just a morale booster.
With one game to go before the final international break of 2025, an emphatic win over Burnley on Saturday could see the Irons climb out of the relegation zone for the first time since Matchweek 3 – leapfrogging the Clarets into 17th.
And based on the result last week, they’ll certainly have a go.
Burnley have shipped 15 goals on the road this season – the worst away record in the league – which goes a long way to explaining why Scott Parker’s men have lost all but one of their games outside Lancashire.
No player has created more goals for West Ham this season than summer signing Malick Diouf. With three assists to his name already and lively performances in recent weeks, he’s one to watch again.
Will the Senegal international assist you in this massive 23/2 Bet Builder: West Ham to win, over 2.5 goals and Diouf to assist.
Burnley may struggle to hold their shape defensively, but their attack still poses a threat which suggests a consolation goal which should keep them above the bottom three on goal difference.
Sunderland 1-1 Arsenal
This won’t be the easy game it may have looked like for Arsenal at the beginning of the season. Before a ball was kicked, few would have given Sunderland a prayer of sitting inside the top four after 10 games - even the Mackem faithful.
But that’s where they are, and on merit too. They could have gone second with a win over Everton on Monday, but the point they gained showed their ability to come back into a game after a poor start.
The Black Cats have already beaten Chelsea and are unbeaten at home, but there is no question this is their toughest challenge yet. Arsenal arrive on Wearside top of the table with five wins on the bounce and just three goals conceded all season.
History is very much on their side too. Sunderland haven’t won a Premier League meeting since 2009, and have lost nine of the last 12 against the Gunners. Arsenal won the last clash 5-1 in 2021, though Sunderland were a League One club back then, and are an entirely different proposition now.
Captain Granit Xhaka scored the equaliser against Everton and has been influential this season for Regis Le Bris’s side. He will be relishing the meeting with his former club, and the 17/1 for Xhaka to have a shot on target and the game to be drawn is well priced when you consider the home side’s impressive record at the Stadium of Light.
Chelsea 1-1 Wolves
It’s been a rollercoaster of a season so far for Enzo Maresca’s Blues; for every high of beating Liverpool and Tottenham, there’s the low of losing to Brighton and Sunderland.
They didn't make it easy for themselves against Wolves last time out either.
The Blues were cruising 3-0 in the fourth round of the EFL Cup, only to concede twice before a Jamie Gittens screamer provided a two-goal buffer – and they still conceded again in stoppage time.
That game saw plenty of rotation, but Chelsea’s defensive discipline remains an issue even at full strength and it’s costing them games. They sit bottom of the Premier League fair play table with 20 yellows and three red cards.
Wolves may be winless in the top flight and with a new manager, but they’ll take confidence from that cup clash – and from the Black Cats’ shock win at Stamford Bridge in Chelsea’s last home outing.
On paper, this should be routine… but the Club World Cup Champions don’t do routine. That’s why we’re going against the majority and calling it down the middle.
A draw and both teams to score is currently 19/4 – a decent price for a game that will be a lot more even than expected.
Brentford 2-1 Newcastle United
Newcastle’s recent Premier League form will be concerning for Eddie Howe. The Magpies were desperately poor in Sunday’s 3-1 defeat at West Ham. The Hammers had not won at home since February and Newcastle gifted them the three points.
They head to Brentford, who have settled into life under Keith Andrews quite nicely. Many feared for the West Londoners after the departure of Thomas Frank to Spurs and the loss of Yoanne Wissa and Bryan Mbeumo.
The Bees, though, lie in 12th, one place and point above Newcastle and will be looking to open up a gap here. They’ve lost just once at home, a narrow defeat to Manchester City, and the visitors are yet to win a Premier League game on the road.
The home side have lost six of eight Premier League meetings with Newcastle and won just one, but they could well improve that record.
Set pieces could be key too, with both clubs averaging over five corners per match so far this season, while Brentford’s Igor Thiago has four goals in his last four games. The Brazilian can extend that good run of form here and is 13/2 to score in a win for the hosts with over 9.5 corners in the game
Manchester City 4-2 Liverpool
If ever there was a game that screamed goals galore, this is it.
No team has scored more than Manchester City so far this season (20), while only seven teams in the entire division have conceded more than Liverpool (14).
While there haven’t been loads of goals in this fixture in recent history (there have been under 2.5 goals in each of the previous four meetings), it has been a tinder box in the past. Indeed, across the last 10 games between the two, there have been 32 goals scored.
Liverpool manager Arne Slot recently admitted his side struggles to deal with long balls and direct football. Not ideal, then, that they face a valkyric viking that thrives off them. Erling Haaland is in indescribable form, with 13 goals from 10 Premier League games. Under this iteration of Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City, utilising Haaland’s strength and running in-behind has been a hallmark of their season.
The Reds’ defensive struggles have been highlighted of late–they conceded ten goals in four league games across October, but stopped the rot against Aston Villa last weekend with a clean sheet. However, the principled Unai Emery appeared loath to exploit the weaknesses Slot had admitted to in previous weeks, sticking to building out from the back, a practice which gifted Mo Salah the opener.
The match-ups don’t look good for Liverpool–we’re going for a juicy looking Bet Builder of Manchester City to win, Manchester City to score 3+ goals, and Erling Haaland to score 2+ goals at odds of 13/2.
Odds correct at time of publication but subject to change. Please note: This week's Golden Goals deadline is Saturday 8th November 15:00. Opt-in is required and you can find out more here.
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