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BETMGM GOLDEN GOALS MD30: ARSENAL TO COME UNSTUCK VS TOFFEES?

After taking another break for the FA Cup, the Premier League is back with a bang for Golden Goals Matchday 30.

Liverpool host Tottenham in the headline game with the visitors desperately needing a result to prevent the unthinkable from becoming reality.

Leaders Arsenal are seven points clear at the top and welcome Everton to the Emirates, while third-placed Manchester United are at home to Aston Villa.

Sunderland face Brighton in the Seagulls’ first trip to this part of the North East for over 20 years; neighbours Newcastle make the tough trip to Chelsea.

Finally Leeds, very much still in relegation danger, head south for a clash with a revitalised Crystal Palace.

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Here’s how we see things playing out on Matchday 30…

Crystal Palace 3-1 Leeds

Leeds beating Crystal Palace 4-1 on Matchday 17 was massive at the time, further distancing Daniel Farke’s side from the bottom three after drawing with the current Premier League champions the week prior.

That winter run has kept them out of the relegation conversation for some time; one they’ll be desperate to run back in the spring given how it’s started...

The Whites have lost their last two Premier League games 1-0 and are winless in five league games – right as Nottingham Forest and West Ham have started to show signs of life.

Any murmurs of Palace being involved in the same scrap were off the table the moment the final whistle was blown at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

MD29 Team of the Week

The Eagles now sit atop 38 points – seven more than their Sunday afternoon opponents and 10 more than the two fighting it out to avoid 18th.

We’re predicting back-to-back 3-1 victories for Oliver Glasner, this time at Selhurst Park with an in-form Ismaila Sarr grabbing the headlines once again.

The 2026 AFCON winner was a nose-length away from his first senior hat-trick against Spurs and has registered two shots on target in his last two top-flight games on top of making his side all the more dangerous in transition.

If revenge is to be dished out, a Palace win, Sarr over 1.5 shots on target and over 2.5 goals in the game combine for a cold 9/1 Bet Builder.

Manchester United 3-1 Aston Villa

Michael Carrick’s honeymoon at Manchester United was firmly ended last time out by Newcastle.

The injury-time 2-1 win for the Magpies will have stung – Eddie Howe’s men played more than half the game with 10 men.

United face Aston Villa here, a side that also need to bounce back, having seen their title challenge turn into a scrap for a European place.

Villa have won just one of their last six and have actually fallen below the Red Devils in the table, having been 11 points ahead of them eight games ago.

Despite the Newcastle loss, United remain the form side of the two. Their defeat on Tyneside was the first in the league this year while Villa have lost three since the beginning of February.

Unai Emery’s men did win the reverse fixture but United are a different proposition now, especially at Old Trafford. The Red Devils have won five of their last six here, and making it six from seven will go a long way to securing a return to the Champions League next season.

Villa haven’t won here since 2021 and we can’t see that changing this time out.

Midfielder Casemiro has had five shots on target in his last three matches at Old Trafford and scored their only goal last time out at Newcastle. The Brazilian is 17/4 to have a shot on target here in a United win which features over 2.5 goals.

Six of the last nine meetings have had at least three goals, while only Arsenal and Everton have left Old Trafford with three points this season.

Sunderland 2-1 Brighton

Sunderland have hit 40 points for the first time in the Premier League since 2011/12.

It is a magnificent achievement for Regis Le Bris’s Black Cats, even if recent form has deserted them somewhat.

The win at Leeds last week ended a run of four without a win but a desperately poor performance in the FA Cup on Sunday saw them lose to League One Port Vale.

That said, Sunderland fans would have snapped your hand off if you had offered them this position at the beginning of the season and this game against Brighton is a good chance to bounce back from the cup embarrassment and back-to-back home defeats.

The Seagulls have won just three on the road and their inconsistency has them in 14th place – three points below their hosts.

They have won back-to-back games just twice this season and just one of their last seven league games away from the Amex.

Fulham and Liverpool have left Wearside with three points recently but prior to that Sunderland had not lost at home and only five of the top six have a better home record than them.

Record signing Habib Diarra has had three shots on target in his last two Premier League games and scored the winner at Leeds from the penalty spot. You can get 12/1 for the Senegal international to score in a home win.

Chelsea 2-1 Newcastle

The Blues were good for large parts of their 5-2 defeat to PSG in the Champions League.

Some might argue they should have been in front before a crazy error from their goalkeeper Filip Jorgensen gifted the French giants the lead. Then, the genius of substitute Khvicha Kvaratskhelia took over, with two late goals sealing the win.

In Enzo Fernandez, though, they have a world-class operator. Since the start of last season, only Bruno Fernandes has more goal involvements from midfield than the World Cup winner. He was on the scoresheet on Wednesday and we can see him getting involved again here.

Newcastle were seconds away from a monumental home win over Barcelona on Tuesday.

A last-minute penalty broke Geordie hearts and now an acid test at Stamford Bridge awaits.

They have a horrible recent record at this ground, losing eight of their last nine visits there in all competitions.

We can see the hosts shading this one, with a contribution from the in-form Fernandez. Back Chelsea to win and Fernandez to score or assist at odds of 47/20.

Arsenal 1-1 Everton

Arsenal fans enjoyed a much-needed deep breath after the last set of Premier League games, with the Gunners securing a 1-0 win away to Brighton and Manchester City drawing with Nottingham Forest.

However, the anxiety precipice is only ever a turf-beating display of Gabriel frustration away before looming large again.

After a disappointing 1-1 draw away to Bayer Leverkusen in the Champions League, cortisone levels are going to spike once more following the visit of Everton.

The Toffees are excellent outside of the Hill Dickinson this season. Indeed, since David Moyes took the reins last year, only Arsenal have a better away record than Everton.

They have not lost away since mid-December and face Arsenal on the back of four wins from five matches on the road, although their history at the Emirates is less than flattering with just one win in 29 attempts at the stadium.

Much has been made of Arsenal’s strength at set-pieces… and rightly so. They have scored 21 of their 59 goals from dead-ball situations. But Everton are the only team in the league yet to concede a goal from a set-piece away from home in this campaign.

A score draw could be the way to go here, with the added ingredient of lots of corners.

Two of Arsenal’s last four matches have seen 12 or more corners, while there have been 50 corners across the last five games involving Everton.

Put the draw and over 11.5 corners together for tasty-looking Bet Builder odds of 21/2.

Liverpool 4-0 Tottenham

Tottenham fans… you may want to look away for this one.

The Europa League winners travel to Merseyside off the back of a five-game winless run in the league – three helmed by interim manager Igor Tudor, who is yet to get his squad to show any real fight despite their current predicament.

Unfortunately for Spurs, it looks like their longest winless run in the Premier League since 1975 is cursed to continue against another side looking to secure all three points.

Liverpool’s three-game winning streak was brought to a screeching halt at Molineux, applying even more pressure on them to keep up with the likes of Manchester United, Aston Villa and Chelsea if they are to secure Champions League football next season.

Confidence alone should be more than enough to see Liverpool through this game, knowing they’ve beaten their Sunday evening opponents 5-1, 4-0, 4-2 and 4-3 across the last four Anfield meetings in all competitions.

So confident in fact that we’re throwing in a handicap into our 29/20 Bet Builder: Liverpool -1.5, over 4.5 shots on target for the Reds and the home side to have the most corners in the game – as they have in four of the last six in all competitions.

We’d have given Spurs more of a chance given what’s at stake – but losing to Wolves and Atletico Madrid in the manner they did is sure to stoke an already raging fire.

Matchday 30 Picks

Odds correct at time of publication but subject to change. Please note: This week's Golden Goals deadline is Saturday 14th March 2026 15:00. Opt-in is required and you can find out more here.

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