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BETMGM PREMIER LEAGUE DARTS TIPS: JUDGEMENT NIGHT FOR MVG & ASPINALL

Just one Finals Night spot remains – and it will be either Nathan Aspinall or Michael van Gerwen who claims it.

The two go head to head for the second consecutive week as Night 16 of the BetMGM Premier League Darts season lands in Sheffield.

Aspinall is in pole position, having won their clash and the night in Aberdeen, so nothing less than overall victory will do for MVG in the Steel City.

That titanic tussle is second on the stage as opening the night in south Yorkshire is top-of-the-table Luke Littler against bottom-placed Stephen Bunting.

Elsewhere Luke Humphries takes on Rob Cross, who will hope to end a mediocre campaign on a high, before the quarter-finals are rounded off with Gerwyn Price facing Chris Dobey.

Here’s the full quarter-final running order at the Utilita Arena:

Night 16 Fixtures

BetMGM Premier League Darts Tips: 11/1 Night 16 Acca

  • Littler King of the Oche vs Bunting
  • Aspinall to beat MVG
  • Over 8.5 legs in Humphries vs Cross
  • Price to beat Dobey

Leg 1 – Luke Littler to be King of the Oche vs Stephen Bunting @ 13/8

When it comes to contrasting tournaments, it would be hard to find a better example than these two.

Five nightly wins sees Littler sit atop the pile for the second year in a row; Bunting’s second BetMGM Premier League campaign ended in elimination with weeks to spare.

It’s pride only for the Bullet, while Littler eyes an unprecedented sixth win in an already record-breaking year.

They’ve met four times — the Nuke winning three — though two of those were 6–5, showing Bunting hasn’t always rolled over. That said, he trails Littler by 28 points for a reason.

Top spot now secured, Littler will want to enter Finals Night firing. He beat Humphries last week before losing to Dobey, though he hit eight 180s and a 130 checkout in defeat.

That whitewash back in April saw the Nuke achieve the ‘King of the Oche’ tag and it would be no surprise to see him end the campaign with that particular crown too.

13/8 for Littler to be King of the Oche (win the match, hit the highest checkout and throw the most 180s) appeals – he leads the field in 180s with 162, has a 113+ highest checkout average and, simply, more wins than anyone else.

Leg 2 – Nathan Aspinall to beat Michael van Gerwen @ Evens

Here it is. The showdown.

Aspinall put himself in the driving seat in Aberdeen last week by winning the match between the pair, meaning avoiding defeat in this one is enough to secure his progression.

The equation is equally as simple for MVG: win the night or go home.

Winning a night for the seven-time BetMGM Premier League champion doesn’t seem out of the ordinary but the Dutchman is one of just two players yet to do so this season.

Aspinall wouldn't be his opponent of choice. The Stockport thrower has won four of their five meetings this year, including last week’s 6–3 victory where he fired a 140 checkout and hit four maximums before sweeping Dobey aside 6-1 in the final too.

An omen for the MVG backers: Aspinall also missed out on the O2 last term having been in pole position going into Night 16 in Sheffield. How? By losing in the quarters to a player named Michael (Smith, not Van Gerwen) who went on to win the night and take the last spot.

All signs from this season point to the Asp striking again to send Van Gerwen home after the league phase for the first time since the change in format in 2022.

Evens for Aspinall to win goes on the acca – and with BetMGM paying out early if your player goes three legs up, there's added appeal built in.

More information on our early payout on three-leg leads promotion can be found here.

Leg 3 – Over 8.5 legs in Luke Humphries vs Rob Cross @ 4/6

Humphries has both qualified for Play-offs Night and been assured of second spot, making this meeting with Cross mainly about pride and form heading into the O2.

Voltage’s lingering top-four hopes were ended last week with defeat to Dobey.

His 2025 campaign will go down as a missed opportunity: has yet to reach a final with seven semi-final exits and no nightly wins.

He will want to end on a high and, although this tussle with Humphries won’t be easy, it’s a chance for him to do just that.

None of their head-to-heads this season have finished in fewer than nine legs. Cross has won one of their three meetings 6-4 and the other two ended 6–5 and 6–3 to Humphries, showing Voltage has kept things tight regardless of result.

The numbers point the same way: Humphries ranks first for matches over both 8.5 (85%) and 9.5 (65%) legs with Cross second for full-distance games; 32% of his matches have gone over 10.5.

With little at stake, expect a relaxed but competitive encounter. Over 8.5 legs at 4/11 makes sense.

Leg 4 – Gerwyn Price to beat Chris Dobey @ 8/11

Price is already O2-bound but he’ll want to finish strong. And after last week’s loss to Bunting, there’s motivation to sharpen up ahead of Finals Night.

Dobey gave it everything in Aberdeen, beating Littler and reaching a third final, but a 6–1 loss to Aspinall ended his Play-Offs Night hopes.

Price has been one of the season’s most consistent performers. He’s racked up three nightly wins and two nine-darters, including a perfect leg last week despite losing his match.

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Their head-to-head record is also firmly in Price’s favour. Dobey took their first meeting back on Night 1 but the Welshman has dominated since, winning the last two 6–2.

With rhythm to find and a fourth win the ideal preparation for London, 8/11 for Price to win is a strong anchor leg for the final BetMGM Acca of the regular season.

Remember: BetMGM is paying out early when your player takes a three-leg lead, regardless of the final result. More information can be found here.

BETMGM’S NIGHT 16 ACCA

  • Littler King of the Oche vs Bunting
  • Aspinall to beat MVG
  • Over 8.5 legs in Humphries vs Cross
  • Price to beat Dobey

Night 16 BetMGM Specials

With five nightly wins already, Littler heads to Sheffield as the 5/4 favourite to round off the regular season with a sixth.

Humphries – runner-up here last year – is the familiar second favourite at 7/2 as he looks to bookend his campaign with nightly titles.

But the value play could be a man who simply has to win.

Van Gerwen has claimed this competition seven times and, while he’s yet to win a night this season, his O2 hopes rest entirely on doing so here.

He came close in Sheffield in 2022 and if anyone can deliver under pressure, it’s him at 17/2 to win Night 16.

Night 16 Winner Odds

This is also the penultimate chance for players to win a set of custom-made 18ct gold darts for hitting a nine-darter.

Price has two perfect legs and two sets of gold darts already. A sixth of the BetMGM Premier League season in Sheffield is 5/1, while two or more is 66/1. It happened in Brighton. Can we end with a bang?

Explore full specials – including 180s, leg totals, King of the Oche and a host of in-play markets – via the BetMGM Premier League Darts Hub and follow our social media channels throughout Night 16 and into Play-Offs Night.

2025 BetMGM Premier League Darts – it’s showtime!

Odds correct at time of publication but subject to change

3Up Early Payout Terms & Conditions

Early payout on BetMGM Premier League Darts bets if your player goes three legs up available every Thursday between 06/02/25 09:00 - 22/05/25 18:59. Pre-match singles & multiples on outright match winners only. Cashed-out bets do not qualify. Not to be used with any other offer or enhanced / boosted markets. 18+. T&Cs & exclusions apply.

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